South Dakota State is coming into this game with a 5-2 record this season and they have been playing well in their recent games. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and have been more dominant in these 3 wins, but now they are coming off of a 1 point loss to Boise State in their last game. They allowed 83 points in that loss and their defense has not been great this season as they have allowed 76+ points in 2 of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 6 games. They are going up against a Missouri State team that is 4-2 this season and they have also been playing well in their recent games. They lost their 1st game of the season on the road by 7 points to Butler in a game they played well, and now they have won 4 of their last 5 games. They have been dominant in these wins as well with 3 of their 4 wins in that span coming by 10+ points. They beat High Point by 10 points in the 1st game of this tournament and now they are coming off of a loss in their last game to Boston College, but they only lost that game by 2 points and took BC to OT as well. Missouri State is going to be hungry to bounce back in this game and their defense has been very good this season as they have allowed under 70 points in 3 of their last 5 games, both games which they allowed more going to OT. Missouri State has played well against some tough teams this season and they will be hungry to bounce back after such a close loss to Boston College. Missouri State will cover the spread in this game.