Orlando is coming into this match with a trend to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in all 4 of their matches in these playoffs. Their defense has been great as they have allowed just 1 goal in their last 4 matches, keeping 3 clean sheets in that span, and their attack has not been that great as they have scored 4 goals in their last 4 matches as well. They have also played 3 of those matches at home and will be at home for this match as well. They are going up against a New York Red Bulls side that has also been trending to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches, but both of their matches that went under were their only 2 away matches in these playoffs. Their defense has been much better in those matches as well, allowing no goals in their 2 away matches. The Red Bulls took an early 2-0 lead in the 1st half against NYCFC and they were able to hold on in the 2nd half with good defense. They will play that same defensive style that they have been finding success with away from home, but Orlando also has a much better defense at home than NYCFC so the Red Bulls are not going to find the net so easily here. This match is going to be like a chess match between two good defensive teams that do not want to make the 1st mistake and risk being on the cusp of elimination. This will be a low scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
USA MLS Playoffs: Orlando City SC/New York Red Bulls under 2.5 goals, Rot. 209802