Roma is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches and their defense has been awful in these. They have allowed at least 1 goal in each of their last 5 matches, allowing at least 2 goals in 3 of those as well. Their attack has not been bad though, also scoring at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches. When playing at home, they have been playing in some lower scoring matches as their defense has been better there, but their last match at home was a 3-2 loss to Bologna and they have been in awful form in their recent matches as well. They are going up against an Atalanta side that has been in great form in their recent matches and has been trending to the over as well. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 matches, and they have won their last 7 straight matches as well. Their attack has been on fire recently as they have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches, scoring at least 3 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 3 of their last 5, and they are coming off of a 6-1 win in Champions League in their last match as well. They have a break from Champions League this week so they are going to be focused on winning this match as they are currently sitting in 2nd place in Serie A, and a win here would put the pressure on Napoli as they would be just 1 point behind the leaders. Their attack has been on fire recently, but their defense has still conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 3 matches, and Roma is going to be pushing for some points here to pull themselves out of the awful form they have been in. Roma is not going to keep this potent Atalanta attack out of their net and that is going to force Roma to push their attack if they want some points here, but this is also an Atalanta defense that has been inconsistent all season so Roma can certainly find the net on them at home. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Roma/Atalanta over 2.5 goals, Rot. 201277