Everton is coming into this match not playing in great form in their recent matches as they have lost 2 of their last 3, but they are coming off of a win at home in the FA Cup in their last match and they have been in much better form at home recently. When playing at home, they only have 1 loss in their last 9 matches there and their defense has been great in these as they have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches at home. They are going up against an Aston Villa side that has been in great form in their recent matches. They have won their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their last 5 matches with 1 loss in that span, but all 3 of those wins also came at home where they have been much better. When playing away from home, they have actually lost 6 of their last 7 matches and their defense has been awful in these as they have allowed at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, allowing 5 goals total in their last 2 alone. Even being in such good form at home recently, Aston Villa has not been great on defense as they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 7 straight matches, and even their last win against West Ham in the FA Cup was a much they had to come back from behind in. Aston Villa has been playing in a lot of competitions recently with a condensed schedule and they still have a weekend match against Arsenal in a few days as well as Champions League returning next week so they will not be fully focused on this away match against a good defensive Everton side and could easily be overlooking this match. Everton will win this match at home or at least draw, take Everton +0.5 here.
England Premier League: Everton +0.5, Rot. 200186