These two teams tend to play to the under when they play each other. The last seven out of 10 games against each other have gone under the total. CJ Stroud has not looked good so far at QB and the Texans offense is struggling to find itself, as they have only generated 29 points in offense combined in two games. The Jags are off a tough home game against the Champs and the score in that game stayed under because of Jacksonville's strong defense as they limited the Chiefs offense. This game is about defense from two teams that are more defensive minded so the total should stay under, as well as it being a divisional game. This will be a slow grinding ugly game. When a team is off a home loss against an opponent like Jacksonville, by 10 or more points, the Under is 35-8 over the last five seasons.

Houston as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points is 1-6 to the Under in the last three seasons. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 10 games against Houston. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games played in week 3. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC South division.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.