Western Kentucky is at home in this rivalry game and they have beaten Middle Tennessee in their last four years. They have been able to beat the Blue Raiders by more than 18 points in the last two years and they have been at home in all four games since 2019. This spread seams like a gift so Mack is taking it as this team has shown they can beat the Blue Raiders by two or more scores. The Hilltoppers have played well at home were they beat their opponents by 17 or more points so far. This is a short week for both teams but the Hilltoppers do not have to travel so this is a tough spot for Middle Tennessee to prepare and pull out a win let alone cover against this high octane offense. Middle Tennessee has not won on the road this season and have lost two games at home, and only having one win over a FCS team so far. Western Kentucky however, have two home wins that are impressive, one being against a decent South Florida team who hung in with Alabama and beat a good Rice team. Western Kentucky looks like the much better team in this matchup so lay the points.

Western Kentucky are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home. Western Kentucky are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games. Middle Tennessee are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Middle Tennessee are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in September. When playing on a Thursday, WKY are 1-0 ATS this season and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games. WKY as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points are 1-0 ATS this season and 3-1 ATS in the last three seasons. WKY after a 2 game road trip are 5-0 ATS in the last three seasons. MT are 5-8 ATS when playing on a Thursday in their last 13 games.

Best bet: lay the points with Western Kentucky.