South Florida has been playing well for the last few weeks and has played their last three games at home. Now they go on the road after almost a month at home to play a well rested Navy team off of a bye week. It is tough to prepare for a version of the triple option with less than a week and this may just be a letdown spot for South Florida as they travel all the way up north. They got their win over a good Rice team and will have a tough time against this military school as Navy has won and covered the last two games against South Florida at Memorial Stadium. The Midshipmen will grind this out and control the clock to get the win. Take the better more motivated team at home looking for their first conference win.

South Florida are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games on the road. The Bulls after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 0-2 ATS in the last three seasons and 19-27 ATS since 1992. Navy against conference opponents are 1-0 ATS this season and 13-4 ATS in the last three seasons. Navy after a bye week are 4-2 ATS in the last three seasons. Navy after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 4-0 ATS in the last three seasons. Navy in weeks 5 through 9 are 7-3 ATS in the last three seasons.

Best bet: lay the points with Navy.