Buffalo has had Miami's number when they play them at home for the last few seasons. Buffalo is healthy coming into this game and they are 2-1 in the season so far. This will be a test for the Bills as they haven't really played a good team in the last three weeks, all three teams they have played have been some of the weakest teams in the league. QB Allen has also been prone to turnovers this season. Miami, however is showing that they may have one of the best offenses in the league and with everyone healthy and all their weapons firing, this is the perfect spot for Miami to finally get that monkey off their backs. Miami will be able to run the ball against the Bills and QB Tua will have the better game of the two quarterbacks today. This is a divisional game so this will be a tough close battle.

Miami as a road underdog of 3 points or less are 3-1 ATS in the last three seasons and 1-0 ATS this season. Miami versus division opponents are 1-0 ATS this season and 10-4 ATS in the last three seasons. Miami after a win by 21 or more points are 2-0 ATS in the last three seasons. Miami after scoring 35 points or more last game are 1-0 ATS this season and 4-0 ATS in the last three seasons. After 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread Miami is 1-0 ATS this season and 6-3 ATS in the last three seasons. The Bills after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 4-9 ATS in the last three seasons. The Bills after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 2-4 ATS in the last three seasons. The Bills versus division opponents are 0-1 ATS this season and 8-7 ATS in the last three seasons. The Bills, after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 2-5 ATS inthe last three seasons.

Best bet: take Miami and the points.