This Jaguars team is not as good as last season's team and they have struggled against mediocre teams this season. They only have wins against a weaker FCS school and a very bad Oklahoma State team. Louisiana Monroe has played well at home this season beating Army and Lamar at home and losing by one point to App. St. They have also played Texas A&M and lost on the road but have played better quality teams than South Alabama has this season. These two have played within 7-10 points in their last two games head to head where each one their home game. These two teams are more evenly matched at this point in the season and the home team is getting ten points as the underdog. This is a second back to back road game for the Jaguars so this is a tough spot for them. Take the rested home team to keep this game close as the Warhawks can take advantage of the weakness in the Jaguar's defense and could possibly pull the upset off too.

The Warhawks as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points are 2-0 ATS this season and 5-0 ATS in the last three seasons. ULM after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games are 6-1 ATS in the last three seasons. The Jaguars as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points are 1-4 ATS in the last three seasons. The Jaguars in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 are 1-4 ATS and 1-4 SU in the last three seasons and 6-26 SU since 1992.

Best bet: take the points with Louisiana Monroe.