This is do or die for the Rangers tonight as the Astros took all three home games from them and now they are back in Houston with the better pitcher on the mound. Eovaldi is the much better pitcher over Valdez as this is the same matchup as in game 2. Eovaldi pitched well in game 2 to get the win and he should be even better tonight. Valdez had a bad last outing in that game and he doesn't seem like he will figure it out in this game. Take the more desperate team to get the win.

Eovaldi as a road underdog of +100 or higher is 4-2 SU this season. Eovaldi in October games is 3-0 SU this season and 7-1 SU in the last three seasons. Framber Valdez in October games is 0-2 SU this season. Valdez as a home favorite of -110 or higher is 7-11 SU this season. Houston after sweeping a 3 game series on the road against a division rival are 0-2 SU this season and 1-3 SU in the last three seasons. Houston off 3 straight wins against division rivals are 1-4 SU this season.

Best bet: take Texas on the moneyline.