The model predicts that this game should stay under the total. Both have decent defenses and this should counter any offense either side puts up. Any team against the total like Las Vegas, off an upset loss as a favorite when playing on Monday night football, the Under is 23-2 to the Under in this situation. That is 92% that this game will fall under the total. These teams have played twice in Detroit in the last 20 years. Those two games went well under 45 total points. Generally, this season's prime time games have trended to the Under as well so the best bet in this situational spot is to take the Under.

The total has gone Under in 4 of Las Vegas' last 5 games.

Best bet: take the Under the total.