The last seven games between these two saw the winner win by 10 or less points. This was a three point game last season and Toledo won at home. This is also a bit of a revenge spot for Eastern Michigan who Mack likes to take as an underdog, especially a large underdog. Despite Toledo playing well, they have struggled to cover large spreads and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and 3-8 ATS versus opponents in the MAC in their last eleven games. EMU are off two losses and on the road but they have covered the last five of seven games against Toledo and are 6-1 ATS versus MAC opponents in their last seven games.

Eastern Michigan are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Eastern Michigan are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Toledo. Eastern Michigan are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference. EMU is 2-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. EMU are 3-0 ATS this season after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games. Toledo are 1-3 ATS this season and 2-8 ATS in the last three seasons as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. Toledo are 0-2 ATS in the last three seasons and 9-21 ATS since 1992 off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. Toledo off a home win are 0-4 ATS this season and 0-3 ATS this season off a win by 17 points or more.

Best bet: take the points with EMU.