Miami used to beat Florida State handily over the years, but the last two years have seen the Seminoles winning. Last year, they crushed the Hurricanes 45-3 and though their season is looking great this year, Miami is playing with revenge and would love to play spoiler as well, handing Florida State their first loss of the season. Florida State has some key injuries in their receiving core, with players banged up, so the Hurricanes can take advantage of this. On the flip side, Van Dyke is playing injured for Miami and it has shown in their last few losses. If Miami wants a chance in this game, they need to make an offensive change, perhaps going with the backup quarterback in this spot, Emery Jones who headed up the win against Clemson. He completed 24 of 33 throws and passed for 151 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Miami still has some weapons in this game they can unleash, if not Jones, they can play their redshirt freshman Jacurri Brown at quarterback. Miami will also have some key injured players back for this game to help out so that is a plus for them.They will also have to tighten up the defense and stop the turnovers if they want a shot in this game against the Seminoles. The motivation is there for Miami to get up for this game, it is a rivalry game and these teams have played each other many times that Miami can cover this spread as they have the talent to do so.

Miami is 2-1 ATS this season as an underdog. Miami is 1-0 ATS this season and 3-1 ATS in the last three seasons off a road loss against a conference rival. Florida State is 0-1 ATS this season and 33-36 ATS since 1992 off a double digit road win. FSU off of two consecutive road wins is 0-1 ATS this season and 5-7 ATS since 1992. Miami-FL are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.

Best bet: take the points with Miami FL.