UNLV has been a surprise this season winning eight games. They lost a lot in the portal and were not supposed to be that good this season but they have proven the critics wrong. They only got beat by Michigan and Fresno State. Now they travel to elevation where it is cold and they have to defend a version of this triple option with one week to prepare. Air Force is off of two surprising losses to teams they should have beat. That is why this is the perfect spot for them at home to bounce back big against UNLV. They have beaten the Rebels in their last five matchups by at least a touchdown or more. Lay the small number in the spot.

Nevada-Las Vegas are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Air Force. Nevada-Las Vegas are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Air Force. Air Force are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home. AF are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas. AF are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference. AF are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the West Division division. AF is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. UNLV is 2-10 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival since 1992.

Best bet: lay the points with Air Force.