Bryant has played well so far, beating some good schools like FAU and Howard, and staying close in their game against Rutgers. Their defense is good enough to generate some turnovers off of their opponents and their personal foul rate is not as high as other teams. This defense should keep them in this game and be able cover this spread with their free throws. They are playing Xavier who are 3-3 so far and who are prone to turning the ball over. They have similar stats to this Bryant team, and though better on offense, their mistakes will keep Bryant in it long enough to cover.

Xavier is 2-12 ATS in home games after a game where they made 45% of their free throws or worse since 1997. Bryant are 2-1 in their road games against the spread. Bryant are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread.

Best bet: take the points with Bryant.