UT Arlington is a better team than their record and they are a battle tested team having played some better talent this season in Arizona, New Mexico and Texas Tech no name a few. Texas hasn't been able to cover large double digits spreads as well this season as they are 0-3 ATS this season and 1-7 ATS in the last three seasons as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points. This is also a look ahead spot for Texas as they have Texas Tech on board. The Mavericks haven't won a road game yet but they have covered the spread going 7-3 ATS and this is just too many points. Sure, Texas wins but the Mavericks should be able to cover this spread on the road.

Texas are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Texas are 16-0 SU in their last 16 games at home. Texas-Arlington are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Texas-Arlington are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Texas. Texas-Arlington are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference. Texas is 1-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 4-12 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. UT Arlington is 6-0 ATS this season when the total is 140 to 149.5. UT AR are 3-1 ATS this season as a road underdog of 10 or more points. UT AR are 1-0 ATS this season, 4-0 ATS in the last three seasons and 17-2 ATS since 1997 off a road loss by 20 points or more. Texas are 4-8-0 ATS this season.

Best bet: take the points with UT Arlington.