Indiana State are the much better team here especially on offense where they are efficient. They are shooting over 51.5% from the field and are better at all skill positions especially at the 3 point line where they are lights out. Northern Iowa no pushover either, can keep pace in tempo, but in this matchup will get outscored because their defense has more holes. Indiana State wins by 4-7 points.

N Iowa is 2-10 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots per game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Indiana ST is 9-1 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams who are forcing less than or equal to 12 turnovers per game over the last 2 seasons. Indiana State are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games. Indiana State are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Northern Iowa. Indiana State are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games. Indiana State are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games against an opponent in the Missouri Valley conference. Northern Iowa are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Northern Iowa are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the Missouri Valley conference.

Best bet: lay the points with Indiana State.