This 49's defense is not the Cowboys defense so Green Bay will get to experience it upfront and personal. This defense is a monster, something they haven't seen all season, and this team, like Green Bay, also destroyed the Cowboys this season. San Francisco's offense has averaged 28-30 plus points per game for most of the season and they will have the more lethal weapons to run the score up on the Packer's. The 49's are rested, Purdy is comfortable now and he will play this game with confidence, not to mention having the better more experience coaching in Shanahan who will scheme up ways to shut down Green Bay's offense and Love. The game may start slow, but once San Francisco starts to roll, they will dominate the game and win and cover, where the score will settle around 34-17 for SF.

The league stat says to play on any team, like San Francisco in this spot, off an upset loss as a home favorite, a good team who are winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season pans out 73.8% of the time or 48-17 SU over the last ten seasons and over the last 3 seasons, the stat is 19-4 SU in this situation. The league stat says to play against any team like Green Bay, who are off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, pans out 73.1% or 38-14 SU over the last ten seasons.

SF are 28-13 ATS in the last few seasons against conference opponents. SF are 5-1 ATS in the last few seasons in playoff games. SF are 6-1 ATS this season after playing a game at home. Green Bay are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against San Francisco. San Francisco are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games played in January.

Best bet: lay the points with San Francisco.