When these two last played the score did not get near this number so look for a low scoring defensive game in this spot. Both are stingy on defense and Miami plays at one of the slowest paces in the league, thus chewing up clock time as well, which all leads to an under game in this spot. Miami are 15-7 to the Under when they play on the road this season and the Magic are 11-8 to the Under at home this season.

The league stat is to play Under the Total with all teams where the total is 210 to 219.5, like Miami, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games pans out 73.2% of the time or 60-22 since 1992. The total has gone Under in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home. The total has gone Under in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games. The total has gone Under in 5 of Miami's last 5 games. The total has gone Under in 7 of Miami's last 7 games on the road. Orlando is 22-11 to the Under after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.