The Magic played one of their best offensive games where Banchero, Wagner and Suggs outperformed. There might be a bit of regression there with the numbers as they all outperformed at home. Cleveland will pick up their effort in this game and play a more defensive game. Look for them to crash the board and improve on their rebounding. Both Mitchell and Garland had bad games in game 3, so look for a much better effort in this spot. Nobody on the team had numbers in the 20’s or high teens. They missed quite a few rebounds and they missed a lot of their 3 point shots, shooting only 23.5% from the 3, and just lost the battle in all four quarters to Orlando. The Cavaliers won their two home games more on defense as they shut down the Magic’s scoring chances. They themselves still didn’t shoot well in those two games and there is no guarantee they have a better effort in this spot. However, Orlando at home is too strong and has the best home covering record. Their threes drop much better at home and they are getting a well balanced effort from their starters and role players at home. Cleveland may be the better team, but in this spot, Orlando gets another home win and cover.

Best bet: lay the points with Orlando.