This game between Skenes and Fried is a pitchers duel and this should stay under the total as both teams will struggle to get runs off of these two pitchers, especially the Pirates who don’t hit left handed pitchers well in the last few weeks. Skenes has an ERA of 2.14 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his last eight starts and doesn’t walk a lot of batters. Fried has been on fire with an ERA of 3.00 but it’s down to 1.59 in his last two starts. The total has gone Under in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games.The total has gone Under in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games. Atlanta is 8-0 to the Under with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts this season. Atlanta is 19-9 to the Under as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. The Pirates are 8-4 to the under this season on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.