The Storm are at home in a long stretch and have gone 5-0 straight up and against the spread in their last five games at home. The wings are giving up on average 87.1 points to opponents and are battling injuries right now, but they did get Sims back in the lineup and she scored 19 points off no rust. They also managed to score 94 points on a very good Lynx team. Their offense is ranked 7th in the league up until now, but they are showing improvements in their offensive rating.Their offense should continue that success into this game as they improve in their team metrics. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road. Dallas is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games. However, Dallas 2-1 against the spread this season and 11-5 against the spread in the last three seasons as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. In their last five games in Seattle, Dallas is 5-0 straight up and against the spread. This team seems to play the Storm well on the road. The Wings should be more competitive in the paint and they have some momentum from their emotional win the other day. In a traditional let down spot like this, one would expect Dallas not to get up for this road game, but their record versus this team says otherwise.The last time these two played each other in early June, Seattle won on the road 92-84, but it was only by 8 points. The Wings are playing with revenge in this game and have a decent record defending that. Dallas is 21-8 against the spread in the last three seasons avenging a loss where the opponent scored 85 or more points. They also carry a little momentum into this game after getting their first big win of the season. Seattle is just 4-5 against the spread this season versus division opponents. This spread may be just a tad too big as Seattle is expected to win the game, but the Wings can hang around in this spot as they did win the series last season 3-1 straight up against the Storm.

Best bet: take the points with Dallas.