The Phillies have Mercado on the mound and he has been good as a relief pitcher, pitching in his third start. He should go about five innings and he hasn’t given up anything really, 2 hits and 2 walks. He should give the Braves some issues trying to get some runs off of him with an ERA of 1.50 and batters hitting just .100 against him. The Braves put up Lopez with a 1.83 ERA, who has been better at home, and has an average of 9.4 strikeouts per game, as batters are hitting a low .216 against him. This should be a bit of a pitcher's duel with runs at a premium. The Braves have struggled with consistent offense but they have one of the best bullpens while the Phillies have a top 10 bullpen in the league. The Phillies are still without Schwarber and Harper and that is affecting their offense. The total has gone Under in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home. This game is going to see a lower total and that is the better value in this matchup.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.