Gavin Williams will start for Cleveland and had a good 2023 season but just came off the IL recently and he didn’t have a good start in his first game back against the White Sox this season. However, if he pitches close to how he pitched last season, then he should be fine in this game. He is the better pitcher overall, despite the injury and bad game, as Montero has been consistently bad with an ERA of 6.6 and a WHIP of 1.83. Montero has been giving up runs on a consistent basis, despite having a slightly decent start in his last game, and is susceptible to getting hit by the stronger Guardians lineup. Detroit is off a good series where they swept the Reds but they haven’t been able to follow that up with a few good series in a row this season, especially at home where they are 19-22, and facing a better team with a better lineup and bullpen. The Guardians are 23-9 in their last 32 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200. The Tigers are 59-153 in their last 212 games as an underdog of +201 or greater. Head to head, Cleveland is 77-37 in the last 114 meetings. Take the better road team in this game.

Best bet: take Cleveland on the moneyline (ML).