These two teams have gone Over in 15 of their last 21 meetings in Philadelphia. With Morton on the mound for the Braves, he is 5-7 against the Phillies with an ERA of 4.81 and as good as he has been, he’s not as strong on the road so he may give up some runs to the Phillies. Morton is also 0-2 against over the past three meetings with a 6.07 ERA against Philadelphia. Sanchez is on the mound for Philadelphia, and the Braves can get to him for some runs because they have started to hit consistently. Sanchez may have an ERA of 2.18, but he did give up three runs, 9 hits, in six innings of work in his last start against the Braves. This game is going to see some runs, enough to take this total over.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.