Texas has been lucky playing teams all season with their back up quarterbacks. They also haven’t really played anyone with substance and Kentucky’s defense, along with their starting quarterback, should make this a very competitive game for the Longhorns. The Wildcats gave the Bulldogs fits earlier in the season and this game could be similar. This is too many points for a good Kentucky team so take them. KTY is 2-1 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points in the last two seasons and they are 4-1 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. Texas is 0-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the last two seasons. Kentucky will be motivated as a win helps with their bowl eligibility chances and defense travels.

Best bet: take the points with Kentucky.