Houston comes into this game where they can be competitive with the Chiefs as Houston hasn’t really lost all season by more than a touchdown. The Chiefs are coming into this game with injuries including Mahomes who will play with a bad ankle. This game is going to be more competitive and probably come down to a field goal because the Chiefs haven’t blown out teams all season and have won games by 1 to 3 points in the majority of their games this season. The Texans can exploit the weakened Chiefs secondary and have a good chance of even winning the game. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. Kansas City is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.

Best bet: take the points with Houston.