This is a game that the Nets can cover as a good covering team, especially on the road. They are still playing hard and this team is scrappy. This is too many points for a Heat team that doesn’t blow out teams by double digits. Miami is 6-22 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last two seasons. Miami is 4-14 ATS at home when playing against a bad team with a win percentage at 40% or below.

Best bet: take the points with the Nets.