The Ravens have already beaten the Bills earlier this season and they have the ability to do it again. The Ravens need to stick to their run game to have success against the Bills because Buffalo struggles at stopping it. Buffalo does have the home edge with one of the best home environments in the league though, and one of the best quarterbacks in the game. It will be tough for the Bills though, to stop the Ravens offense with Henry at the helm. Both have really good offenses but the Ravens have been playing at a slightly higher level as has Lamar this season. It is easy to be on the fence with Baltimore because Lamar hasn’t had the best playoff performances in the past, however, they have had a whole season to address that and they are focused and determined, so if they stick to their run game, they should win the game with their improved defense as well. Baltimore is 4-1 ATS against AFC East division opponents in the last two seasons and they are 11-4 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. The Bills are 1-3 ATS avenging a same season loss against an opponent in the last two seasons. According to NFL betting angles, when a team has won the regular season game by more than 20 plus points, the winning team is 10-1 straight up in the rematch if played during the playoffs. Taking Baltimore on the moneyline has good value.

Best bet: take Baltimore on the moneyline (ML).