UC Davis Aggies (ATS) ..

Although Cal Poly is the favorite in this game, the Mustangs are not entirely efficient at anything. Their offense is solid, I'll give them that. However, they like to push the pace and try and blow the roof off of their opponents with speed and that hasn't worked too well in games against tougher opponents this year. Cal Poly does average a lot of points, but is prone to giving up a lot as well.

It's been a very bad stretch for UC Davis, prior to the beginning of this tournament. I mean, the Aggies have lost six straight games and that's probably having a bit of impact on this point spread. Having said that, I believe that a very good showing in the second half of their most recent game vs. UC San Diego should be something to build on here for the Aggies.

UC Davis did win both matchups in the regular season which is a bit worrisome being the underdog here. However, Cal Poly got slowed down a ton in both of those games and the Mustangs do not play very well when they can't play at the fast pace that they like to play at. I believe that UC Davis has Cal Poly's number and will cruise to the next round of the Big West Tournament here on Wednesday evening.

Score Prediction: 77-70 UC Davis.