Low-scoring Patriots offense: The Patriots are averaging only 12.4 points per game this season, ranking 31st in the NFL. Their struggling offense is unlikely to contribute many points to the total.

Strong Texans pass defense: Houston ranks 3rd in the league in pass yards allowed, giving up only 154 passing yards per game. This could limit the Patriots' already weak passing attack.

Patriots' solid defense: New England is allowing just 20.4 points per game, ranking 9th in the NFL. They may be able to contain Houston's offense to some degree.

Recent Patriots trends: New England games have hit the over only twice this year, suggesting a tendency towards lower-scoring affairs.

Historical matchup trends: The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams, indicating a pattern of lower-scoring games when they face each other.

Potential run-heavy approach: With the Patriots likely starting a backup quarterback, they may rely more on their run game, which could keep the clock moving and limit scoring opportunities