The Blackhawks have struggled mightily on offense this season, ranking 31st in goals and 30th in assists, a clear indicator of their low-scoring tendencies. This has been reflected in their overall totals, with the Under hitting in 6 of their last 14 games, including a 4-9-1 record on the road.

The Maple Leafs also lean toward lower-scoring affairs, particularly at home, where the Under has cashed in 9 of 13 games this season. Despite Toronto’s offensive capabilities, their games at Scotiabank Arena have followed a clear trend of tighter scoring margins.

Defensively, Chicago has made noticeable improvements, now ranking 8th in goals against, which further supports a low-scoring outcome. Additionally, the Blackhawks have scored two goals or fewer in 8 of their last 10 games, making it tough to envision a high-scoring game on their end.

Bookmakers are also favoring the Under, with sportsbook models giving Under 6.5 a 55.6% probability of cashing. Considering these factors, combined with the defensive trends on both sides, I see strong value in playing the Under 6.5 in this matchup. Let’s lock it in! 🏒💰