AZ starter Merrill Kelly is 5-1 in his last six starts (w/ 44 Ks and 8 BBs). He's given up one or two runs in four of those outings.

The Braves just lost a series to the A's and the Diamondbacks just pulled into a tie with LA for the NL West lead following five consecutive wins. The D-Backs hit well at home (.276 BA/.338 OBP/.443 SLG/.780 OPS in 30 games) and at night (.272/.324/.439/.763 in 35 games)... They also have solid splits vs. righties (.261/.327/.439/.766), with 78 doubles, 8 triples, and 45 long balls in 1288 ABs. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last four games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Braves starter Charlie Morton is putting a lot of runners on base lately (28 on base in his last three outings) and has lost consecutive starts. He'll be tested by the Arizona offense on the road... The Braves are 0-4 in Morton's last four starts vs. National League West.

I'm betting on Arizona to win straight-up as moneyline underdogs on Friday in Phoenix and it will be my best bet of the day!!