The under is 3-0-1 in the Brewers' last four overall, 5-1 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter, and 14-3 in their last 17 vs. the NL Central.

The under is 4-1 in the Reds' last five home games vs. a team with a winning record and 6-2 in their last eight home games vs. a right-handed starter.

I'm betting on the under in Sunday's Brewers-Reds game. The Brew Crew has been held under four runs in the majority of their away games and the Big Red Machine averages only four runs at home. Cincinnati starter Ben Lively has been dominant as a starting pitcher, with a 22:5 K:BB ratio. He's only surrendered 11 combined hits in his three starts, too. While Houser has struggled at times against the Reds, he won three of his four starts against them last season. In his most previous start, he gave up just one hit in six frames.

I'll bet on the under at 10.5 total runs scored.