The Angels sport an 18-15 run line record as away underdogs and a 5-2 run line record with a rest disadvantage. The Blue Jays are 28-42 RL as betting favorites and 15-25 as home betting favorites. They're 5-8 RL with a day off, too.

As I'm writing this prediction, LA appears primed to sweep its series versus Detroit, which would make it 8-2 straight-up in its last ten. On the heels of the news they would not trade Shohei Ohtani, the Angels got bullish on their playoff chances, adding Friday's starter Lucas Giolito to their rotation. With momentum on its side, I'm comfortable predicting Los Angeles will at least keep the final score close tomorrow.

Since the All-Star break, the Angels are hitting .259 BA/.354 OBP/.491 SLG/.846 OPS, averaging 6.4 runs per game. Even without Mike Trout, this lineup can make things difficult for Jays starter Kevin Gausman, who gave up four long balls in his last start (LA has the third-most HRs in MLB).

Giolito held the Blue Jays to two runs and four hits in six frames on July 4 and is coming off a nine-strikeout game in his last outing with the White Sox. Toronto has been hot at the dish this month, but it's an inconsistent ballclub, with a 7-5 post-All-Star break record despite its impressive hitting stats. It's struggled to cover the run line as betting favorites no matter the venture, but especially at home, where it scores just 4.2 runs per game this year.

LA, which averages 5.2 runs on the road, is my pick to cover the run line on Friday at Rogers Centre!