Freddy Peralta has surrendered one run on five hits in his last two starts combined (13.0 IP) and four total runs in his last four starts. Aside from a poor outing vs. Atlanta on July 21, he's been consistent, holding nine of his last ten opponents to three or fewer runs.

Dane Dunning has also been impressive, holding two of his last three opponents to one run apiece (23 Ks in those starts). He's allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his last ten starts, too.

Milwaukee's offense (.226 BA/.304 OBP/.351 SLG/.654 OPS on the road this year) is unlikely to factor into the scoring much on Saturday. That leaves the run production up to Texas. I feel confident Peralta will suppress the Rangers' bats enough to hold them to four or fewer runs. With that type of performance, the under will be a surefire winner!