The over is 10-0 in Boston's last ten games and 8-2 in Houston's previous ten. These teams have combined for A TON of runs, especially in their recent series in Houston (53 combined runs in four games). Houston also scored 30 runs in three games last week against Detroit. In Monday night's game, Houston beat Boston 13-5... I see that changing on Tuesday, however, with Brayan Bello and J.P. France taking the mound.

Bello held the 'Stros to one run in seven innings last week — the third opponent he's held to one run this month. I'm confident he'll turn in another fine performance at home Tuesday night, as he's 9-3 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 15 night starts this season.

France had a disastrous showing against Boston last week, but I'm inclined to believe that was an anomaly. He held his previous six opponents to two or fewer runs and has allowed three or fewer runs in 16 of his 19 outings. France is 5-2 with a 1.92 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in nine road appearances this year.

Bet on the under at 10.5.