The Cardinals and their starter, Miles Mikolas, have been underperforming recently. I feel confident that will change at home on Wednesday against the similarly underachieving Padres.

San Diego has the fifth-lowest winning percentage as road favorites (47.5%) and one the lowest winning percentages against National League competition (43.2%). It has a .318 on-base percentage on the road in 2023 and a .314 OBP this month. The Padres are not a good bet to score frequently and, despite some recent struggles, Mikolas is talented enough to hold them in check.