There is a value in a bet on the total to be eight or fewer runs at -110 odds...

Slade Cecconi has given up no more than four hits in any of his first five MLB appearances (three starts). He's also held his five opponents to six total runs (21.0 IP). After getting his feet wet against some pretty good teams, including San Francisco, Texas, and Cincinnati, he will face the AL East-leading Orioles. B-More's bats were hot in its three-game series vs. the White Sox (24 runs), but I'm confident they'll cool off against an unfamiliar foe this weekend.

The same can be said for Arizona, as the under is 21-11-2 in its interleague games, the second-highest under winning percentage (65.6%) in a team's interleague games this season. The D-Backs are facing a consistently solid starter in Kyle Bradish, who has held 21 of 24 opponents to three or fewer runs. In August, he gave up just seven runs with 35 strikeouts in five starts (29.2 total innings). He can be counted on to hold the Diamondbacks in check on the road (3.65 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 14 road starts).

An argument can be made that the total should be as low as eight, leaving us with extra breathing room to cash a winning bet on the under!