Zach Eflin is 10-4 with a 3.05 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in 15 home starts and 6-3 with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 13 night games. He's coming off three consecutive quality starts, too.

Kutter Crawford needs to bounce back against the Rays after giving up six runs in 2.2 innings vs. Houston. I don't see that happening against Tampa on Tuesday — the Rays have dropped three of their last four games and need to keep pace with Baltimore in the AL East title chase.

Tampa Bay is 44-23 SU as home favorites (65.7%) and 32-22 SU after a loss (59.3%).