Minnesota SP Kenta Maeda has allowed three or fewer runs in all but one of his starts since late June. He should have more success at home against the inconsistent Mets, who slashed just .230/.313/.392/.704 in August.

NY SP David Peterson has struggled away from Citi Field (7.74 ERA) and during day games (7.03 ERA). He's given up five HRs in his last five starts after surrendering one in his previous 12 outings. The Twins are a better team at home, especially offensively, and unlike the Mets, are still playing meaningful September games.

At -141, they're worth a wager to win SU.