Milwaukee has ace Brandon Woodruff on the mound and is coming off a series win over the Yankees. Miami was held in check by Philly over the weekend and doesn't hit right-handers nearly as well (.251 BA/.309 OBP/.397 SLG/.706 OPS) as lefties (.285 BA/.331 OBP/.429 SLG/.761 OPS). It hasn't produced at the plate away from home, too (.249 BA/.307 OBP/.401 SLG/.708 OPS).

The Brew Crew hits left-handers (.243 BA/.318 OBP/.396 SLG/.714 OPS) slightly better than right-handers (.235 BA/.316 OBP/.375 SLG/.692 OPS) and produces more often at the dish at home (4.7 runs/game), where it's 40-28 straight-up this year. Jesús Luzardo has been inconsistent recently, with three poor performances and three good showings. He's far past his previous career high in innings pitched, so he's likely going to show fatigue in the final month of the regular season.

This could turn out to be a pitcher's duel, but I'm not as confident in Luzardo as I am in Woodruff. One way or another, I expect Milwaukee to come out on top, so I'm very comfortable betting on the Brewers ML!