Excerpt from my article: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/mlb/9-16-2023/cincinnati-reds-vs-new-york-mets-prediction-2158/

Betting Trends: The over is 40-33 in Cincinnati's road games and 7-2 when it's a betting favorite on the road. In other words, when it wins on the road, the over cashes, as well!

Both starters may pitch well tomorrow night, but there's no guarantee Abbott will respond to his poor performance in his last start. He's at 99 innings in his rookie season, so this is unchartered territory for the 24-year-old. He pitched consistently well in his previous five outings, but the Mets have been playing well and are at home with nothing to lose.

Megill, meanwhile, has turned it around in his last five starts, but there's a reason why his season ERA is north of five. In his first two August outings, he gave up 11 runs (ten earned) on 18 hits in ten innings vs. Baltimore and Atlanta. He'll face another playoff contender on Saturday — will he continue to hold it together? Besides, even if he does, the NY bullpen is tough to trust.

I feel confident these teams will combine for at least nine total runs on Saturday night at Citi Field!