I'm betting the under, despite Arizona's hot bats.

The D-Backs have not faced Jeffrey Springs since 2018, so their lack of inexperience against him could prove troublesome. If they don't get to him early, it may be a challenge to pull away with a sizeable lead. Tampa Bay's bullpen was awful early in the season, but it has the lowest ERA (1.97) in MLB in the second half.

Zac Gallen has allowed just one run in two of his last three starts and four of his last five opponents to three or fewer runs. I don't anticipate the Rays bucking that trend, as they have a .182 BA against him in just 11 combined career ABs. They aren't exactly clicking offensively right now, either.

Arizona should score enough to cover the run line, but I don't expect it to be enough to push the total over in Saturday's interleague clash with low-scoring Tampa Bay (28th in runs scored).