Don't let David Peterson's 8-1 record and low ERA fool you, the Mets' starter is due for serious negative regression (5.28 xERA). The D-Backs are red hot (18-6 in August and 27-9 since the All-Star break), crush left-handers (.277 BA/.338 OBP/.430 SLG/.768 OPS) and just won a close game with a big offensive showing (8 runs on 9 hits and 6 walks). I expect them to sustain their momentum in today's contest and like the value of a bet on them to win at under -135 odds.