I'm backing the Bearcats to cover at home, especially given the Longhorns' struggles on the road. Texas lost its final four road games last season (three as an underdog) and is 2-2 on the road this season. One of those wins came in Houston (vs. LSU), and the other was a one-point win at Madison Square Garden vs. Louisville, ranked 220th nationally, per KenPom.

I'm skeptical that the Horns will bounce back from their loss to Texas Tech in their first conference game against Cincinnati. The Bearcats will earn a signature win over Texas on Tuesday!