The Twins are without several key bats (Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton and Max Kepler) and rank 23rd in wRC+ over the last two weeks without them. Cole Ragans has a 10.99 K/9 rate, the fourth-best among all qualified pitchers, and fanned eight consecutive batters in his last outing. He is 10-9 with a 3.46 ERA this season.

Royals are also without a key hitter in their lineup, Vinnie Pasquantino. They have been an average lineup overall this season (99 wRC+) and even less impressive recently, ranking 26th over the last two weeks. Zebby Matthews has a very low walk rate and is due for a bounce-back after a poor performance in his last start.

Both lineups rank in the bottom 10 in wRC+ and wOBA over the last two weeks...

I like the under in this divisional matchup between AL playoff contenders!