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AZ vs. KSU (Under 58.5)
(NCAAF) Wildcats (ARI) vs. Wildcats (KST),
Total: 58.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 58.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
My full game preview is available on our website. Below is my explanation for my wager on the under:
I'm not sold on either quarterback as a dynamic difference-maker through two weeks.
Fifita has thrown two picks against a terrible Lobos D and an FCS defense. It was U of A's defense that sealed the win against the Lumberjacks, as Noah Fifita threw for 173 yards and averaged 6.7 yards per completion. K-State's pass defense didn't get the job done against Tulane, but played better in the second half and made a clutch interception in the red zone with the game up for grabs. K-State has experienced cornerbacks in Keenan Garber and Jacob Parrish and a bunch of talented safeties who should hold up if they can get pressure up front. K-State has plenty of depth at defensive end and has already registered nine sacks, tied for fourth-most in the NCAA. On top of that, Arizona was penalized ten times for 95 yards versus Northern Arizona and wasn't any cleaner against New Mexico (nine penalties for 100 yards).
Avery Johnson has also been underwhelming, passing for under 200 yards in both games. He has cost KSU some big play opportunities by missing open receivers, as well. He brings extra value as a runner, which is primarily how the Wildcats have moved the chains this season. That said, KSU turned the ball over twice against UT-Martin and was penalized seven times last week. The Wildcats' offense looked more effective vs. UT-Martin, but that's less impressive when you consider that the Skyhawks allowed 45 points to Southeast Missouri State last week. I expect K-State to lean more on its ground game, bleeding the clock and reducing Arizona's time of possession.
The total has jumped from 56.5 to 58.5, as bettors are expecting a high-scoring affair. I see this matchup being more defensive in nature, which should result in a win for under bettors!
I'm not sold on either quarterback as a dynamic difference-maker through two weeks.
Fifita has thrown two picks against a terrible Lobos D and an FCS defense. It was U of A's defense that sealed the win against the Lumberjacks, as Noah Fifita threw for 173 yards and averaged 6.7 yards per completion. K-State's pass defense didn't get the job done against Tulane, but played better in the second half and made a clutch interception in the red zone with the game up for grabs. K-State has experienced cornerbacks in Keenan Garber and Jacob Parrish and a bunch of talented safeties who should hold up if they can get pressure up front. K-State has plenty of depth at defensive end and has already registered nine sacks, tied for fourth-most in the NCAA. On top of that, Arizona was penalized ten times for 95 yards versus Northern Arizona and wasn't any cleaner against New Mexico (nine penalties for 100 yards).
Avery Johnson has also been underwhelming, passing for under 200 yards in both games. He has cost KSU some big play opportunities by missing open receivers, as well. He brings extra value as a runner, which is primarily how the Wildcats have moved the chains this season. That said, KSU turned the ball over twice against UT-Martin and was penalized seven times last week. The Wildcats' offense looked more effective vs. UT-Martin, but that's less impressive when you consider that the Skyhawks allowed 45 points to Southeast Missouri State last week. I expect K-State to lean more on its ground game, bleeding the clock and reducing Arizona's time of possession.
The total has jumped from 56.5 to 58.5, as bettors are expecting a high-scoring affair. I see this matchup being more defensive in nature, which should result in a win for under bettors!
