I'll ride with the Padres, who have more to play for, at home on Monday against Houston.

SP Yu Darvish is making strides in the right direction since his return, holding Seattle (1st in wRC+ in the last 14 days) to two runs in his last start. This bet is mostly on the upside of the Padres' bats, however, as I'm confident they are starting to really turn a corner with Fernando Tatis Jr. healthy (.295 BA/.311 OBP/.614 SLG with 4 HR since coming back from the IL) and Manny Machado cruising (.299 BA/.354 OBP/.556 SLG in the last 30 games). The Padres rank 3rd in hard-hit percentage in the last 14 days and face a starter in Spencer Arrighetti who throws a lot of fastballs (40% of his pitch total), but doesn't dominate with that pitch (20th percentile in fastball run value, 37th in Hard-Hit Rate% and 43rd in Barrel%).

There's far too much value on the Padres run line to pass up on this betting opportunity!