The Illini rank 16th in Pass Success, as QB Luke Altmyer is having a fine season (71.4% CMP%, 10 TDs/0 INTs), and he has two good receivers at his disposal in Pat Bryant and Zakhari Franklin (41 catches, 500-plus yards and six receiving touchdowns combined). PSU's secondary was roasted by Bowling Green and the injury to safety KJ Winston weakens the unit.

The Nittany Lions had a program-record 718 yards last week vs. Kent State and have looked great so far on offense. QB Drew Allar was unfairly disrespected by some people heading into this season for his performances vs. Michigan and Ohio State last year, but he's proven why he's no slouch, completing over 70 percent of his passes with an 8:1 TD:INT ratio. PSU ranks 7th in EPA, 13th in success rate and 3rd in explosive play percentage.

Illinois will move the chains more often than the public expects, leading to a higher-scoring game. Bet on the total to go over 47.5 points!